| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.0% | 73% | -19.8% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 77.1% | 88% | -11.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 68.5% | 90% | -21.1% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.0% | 67% | -12.7% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 28.8% | 21.5% | 49.7% |
| xgboost | 22.8% | 17.2% | 60.0% |
| logistic | 16.4% | 25.8% | 57.8% |
| Gateshead | Worthing | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1320 | 1511 |
| Surface Elo | 1320 | 1511 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 2.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.36 | 1.64 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.55 | 1.82 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.27 | 1.55 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 29 Sep | H | Altrincham | 0 - 1 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Altrincham | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Wealdstone | 0 - 4 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Wealdstone | 0 - 4 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Southend | 1 - 6 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Yeovil | 1 - 1 | D |
| 29 Sep | A | Yeovil | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | Halifax | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Halifax | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Hartlepool | 3 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.36 | 73.5% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 5.00 | 20.0% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 6.00 | 16.7% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.48 | 67.6% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.60 | 38.5% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.33 | 75.2% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.40 | 18.5% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 7.50 | 13.3% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.47 | 68.0% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.65 | 37.7% | 03 Oct 06:15 |