OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-06
⚽ Germany 2. Bundesliga · Friday 06 November 2026, 17:30 UTC · finished
Dresden 0.80 3 - 0 1.40 Greuther Furth
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 46.2%52%-5.4%✓ hit
DCHome or away 74.6%79%-4.1%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 61.6%69%-7.2%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 50.1%44%+6.6%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 53.0%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson49.7%23.1%27.2%
xgboost49.7%26.9%23.4%
logistic34.9%30.0%35.1%
Inputs the models saw
DresdenGreuther Furth
Elo (pre-match)13871411
Surface Elo13871411
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.801.40
Form trend0.10-0.40
Season points per game0.801.50
Season goals for / game1.001.00
Season goals against / game1.601.25
Rest days55
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W4 W · 3 D
Dresden: last 5
01 NovAHannover1 - 2L
01 NovAHannover1 - 2L
28 OctHSchalke 042 - 0W
25 OctAHolstein Kiel0 - 3L
25 OctAHolstein Kiel0 - 3L
Greuther Furth: last 5
01 NovHHolstein Kiel1 - 0W
01 NovHHolstein Kiel1 - 0W
25 OctAOsnabruck0 - 3L
25 OctAOsnabruck0 - 3L
17 OctHBraunschweig2 - 0W
Head to head
17 Jan 2026Dresden2 - 0Greuther Furth
03 Aug 2025Greuther Furth3 - 2Dresden
09 Jun 2020Dresden1 - 1Greuther Furth
18 Oct 2019Greuther Furth2 - 0Dresden
04 Apr 2019Greuther Furth0 - 0Dresden
30 Sep 2018Dresden0 - 1Greuther Furth
11 Feb 2018Greuther Furth1 - 0Dresden
08 Sep 2017Dresden1 - 1Greuther Furth
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.6027.8%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7027.0%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.9850.5%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6660.2%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.2045.5%06 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:03 UTC