OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-31
⚽ England League One · Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC · scheduled
Milton Keynes Dons 1.80 15:00 1.20 Doncaster
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 50.2%48%+2.0%
DCHome or draw 77.1%75%+1.9%
DNBHome (DNB) 66.9%65%+1.9%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 54.6%60%-4.9%
BTTSBTTS yes 55.2%no line
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson48.1%25.7%26.3%
xgboost53.0%25.8%21.2%
logistic44.6%29.1%26.2%
Inputs the models saw
Milton Keynes DonsDoncaster
Elo (pre-match)15331467
Surface Elo15331467
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.801.20
Form trend-0.600.30
Season points per game1.801.50
Season goals for / game1.601.17
Season goals against / game1.801.17
Rest days33
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W5 W · 3 D
Milton Keynes Dons: last 5
27 OctHBromley4 - 1W
27 OctHBromley4 - 1W
27 OctHWatford3 - 1W
24 OctAStevenage1 - 0W
24 OctAStevenage1 - 0W
Doncaster: last 5
27 OctALuton1 - 3L
27 OctALuton1 - 3L
24 OctHSheffield Weds2 - 0W
24 OctHSheffield Weds2 - 0W
20 OctHStockport0 - 2L
Head to head
01 Feb 2025Doncaster2 - 1Milton Keynes Dons
21 Sep 2024Milton Keynes Dons1 - 1Doncaster
01 Jan 2024Doncaster3 - 0Milton Keynes Dons
26 Aug 2023Milton Keynes Dons2 - 1Doncaster
22 Jan 2022Milton Keynes Dons0 - 1Doncaster
02 Oct 2021Doncaster2 - 1Milton Keynes Dons
27 Mar 2021Milton Keynes Dons1 - 0Doncaster
12 Sep 2020Doncaster1 - 1Milton Keynes Dons
07 Mar 2020Milton Keynes Dons0 - 1Doncaster
07 Dec 2019Doncaster1 - 1Milton Keynes Dons
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.4029.4%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7027.0%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.0548.8%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6859.5%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.1546.5%30 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 13:59 UTC