| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 43.6% | 38% | +5.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.7% | 81% | -5.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 54.0% | 51% | +3.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.4% | 64% | -5.3% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.2% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.4% | 25.7% | 30.9% |
| xgboost | 34.2% | 26.0% | 39.8% |
| logistic | 27.4% | 28.1% | 44.5% |
| Bari | Pescara | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1407 | 1371 |
| Surface Elo | 1407 | 1371 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 3.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 2.33 |
| Rest days | 168 | 168 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 2 D |
| 23 Oct | A | Casertana FC | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Napoli | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | FC Giugliano 1928 | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Latina Calcio | 0 - 0 | D |
| 04 Oct | A | Salernitana | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Perugia | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Salernitana | 3 - 3 | D |
| 12 Oct | H | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Ascoli | 5 - 2 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Livorno | 1 - 0 | W |
| 08 Mar 2026 | Pescara | 4 - 0 | Bari |
| 08 Dec 2025 | Bari | 1 - 1 | Pescara |
| 14 Apr 2018 | Pescara | 2 - 2 | Bari |
| 12 Nov 2017 | Bari | 1 - 0 | Pescara |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.57 | 63.7% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |