| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.3% | 51% | +5.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.7% | 46.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 54.9% | 45.0% |
| logistic | 53.2% | 46.8% |
| Javier Barranco Cosano | Ryan Nijboer | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1536 | 1519 |
| Surface Elo | 1536 | 1519 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.71 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.29 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Oct | A | Oleksii Krutykh | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Oleksii Krutykh | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Hugo Maia | 1 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Lorenzo Carboni | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Oriol Font | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Marvin Moeller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Benjamin Hassan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Marvin Moeller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.78 | 56.2% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.97 | 50.8% | 11 Oct 06:15 |