| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 74.1% | 79% | -4.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 12.0% | 88.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 29.9% | 70.0% |
| logistic | 26.0% | 74.0% |
| Yaroslav Demin | Harold Mayot | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1435 | 1775 |
| Surface Elo | 1435 | 1775 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.64 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 0.93 |
| Rest days | 1 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Oct | A | Charles Broom | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Martin Borisiouk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Akira Santillan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Akira Santillan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Binda, Alexander | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Tianhui Zhang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Clement Chidekh | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Niels Visker | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Clement Chidekh | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.27 | 78.7% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.55 | 28.2% | 29 Oct 06:15 |