| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.1% | 78% | -20.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 54.8% | 45.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 52.6% | 47.3% |
| logistic | 57.9% | 42.1% |
| Bruno Fernandez | Federico Zeballos | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1383 | 1318 |
| Surface Elo | 1383 | 1318 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 5 | 314 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | H | Tomas Farjat | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Franco Roncadelli | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Jul | H | Juan Pablo Varillas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Jun | H | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Jun | H | Nicolas Kicker | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Nov | H | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Jun | A | Alex Barrena | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | H | Tomas Farjat | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Mar | H | Juan Bautista Torres | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.35 | 29.8% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.29 | 77.5% | 27 Sep 06:15 |