| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.5% | 48% | +9.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 65.0% | 34.9% |
| logistic | 49.4% | 50.6% |
| Federico Agustin Gomez | Daniel Milavsky | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1573 | 1577 |
| Surface Elo | 1573 | 1577 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 36 | 36 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | A | Darwin Blanch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Daniel Milavsky | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Aug | H | Maxim Mrva | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Aug | A | Daniel Elahi Galan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Aug | H | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Federico Agustin Gomez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | H | Lloyd Harris | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | H | Rei Sakamoto | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Aug | H | Edas Butvilas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Aug | H | Felix Balshaw | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Daniel Milavsky | 1 - 2 | Federico Agustin Gomez |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.67 | 59.9% | 15 Sep 09:05 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 15 Sep 09:05 |