| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.5% | 65% | -8.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 48.4% | 51.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 38.8% | 61.1% |
| logistic | 42.4% | 57.6% |
| Pedro Rodenas | Benjamin Hassan | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1443 | 1534 |
| Surface Elo | 1443 | 1534 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 1.13 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 18 Oct | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Svyatoslav Gulin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Olle Wallin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Nicolas Ifi | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Sumit Nagal | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Szymon Kielan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Zsombor Piros | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Ryan Nijboer | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.53 | 65.4% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 19 Oct 06:15 |