| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 44.4% | 43% | +1.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.6% | 75% | -0.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 56.5% | 60% | -3.7% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.8% | 53% | +2.3% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.4% | 29.3% | 33.3% |
| xgboost | 39.1% | 27.2% | 33.8% |
| logistic | 42.5% | 27.4% | 30.1% |
| Le Havre | Auxerre | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1549 | 1606 |
| Surface Elo | 1549 | 1606 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.33 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 2.67 |
| Rest days | 8 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 2 W · 3 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Lille | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Lille | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Toulouse | 2 - 3 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Angers | 0 - 0 | D |
| 05 Sep | H | Brest | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Rennes | 1 - 4 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Rennes | 1 - 4 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Brest | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Nice | 1 - 0 | W |
| 04 Sep | A | Lyon | 1 - 3 | L |
| 05 Apr 2026 | Le Havre | 1 - 1 | Auxerre |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Auxerre | 0 - 1 | Le Havre |
| 04 May 2025 | Auxerre | 1 - 2 | Le Havre |
| 01 Sep 2024 | Le Havre | 3 - 1 | Auxerre |
| 07 May 2022 | Le Havre | 1 - 2 | Auxerre |
| 21 Dec 2021 | Auxerre | 2 - 3 | Le Havre |
| 05 Apr 2021 | Auxerre | 1 - 1 | Le Havre |
| 01 Dec 2020 | Le Havre | 1 - 1 | Auxerre |
| 06 Mar 2020 | Le Havre | 1 - 0 | Auxerre |
| 05 Oct 2019 | Auxerre | 2 - 0 | Le Havre |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.00 | 33.3% | 18 Oct 16:15 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 18 Oct 16:15 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 18 Oct 16:15 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.73 | 57.8% | 18 Oct 16:15 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 18 Oct 16:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.20 | 31.2% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.55 | 28.2% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.86 | 53.8% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.00 | 50.0% | 18 Oct 06:15 |