| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 75.7% | 80% | -4.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 22.9% | 77.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 14.5% | 85.4% |
| logistic | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Lorenzo Claverie | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1479 | 1749 |
| Surface Elo | 1479 | 1749 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.57 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.71 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.43 |
| Rest days | 2 | 17 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Oct | A | Ryan Nijboer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Mwendwa Mbithi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Echazu, M | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Jul | H | Matias Soto | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Guido Ivan Justo | 1 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Munk Mesa, Bernardo | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.25 | 80.0% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.70 | 27.0% | 28 Oct 06:15 |