| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.5% | 63% | -8.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 45.2% | 54.7% |
| logistic | 43.3% | 56.7% |
| Gabriel Diallo | Nishesh Basavareddy | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1735 | 1756 |
| Surface Elo | 1735 | 1756 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.57 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.71 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.57 |
| Rest days | 82 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Aug | H | Luciano Darderi | 0 - 1 | L |
| 04 Aug | H | Kyrian Jacquet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Jul | H | Tristan Boyer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Jul | H | Lorenzo Sonego | 2 - 3 | L |
| 30 Jun | A | Benjamin Bonzi | 3 - 2 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Raphael Collignon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Raphael Collignon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Aziz Dougaz | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Edas Butvilas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Kimmer Coppejans | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.58 | 63.3% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 26 Oct 06:15 |