| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.2% | 55% | +3.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 82.8% | 81% | +2.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 77.5% | 73% | +4.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.4% | 58% | +6.6% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 58.8% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 59.1% | 23.7% | 17.2% |
| logistic | failed: ValueError | ||
| xgboost | failed: ValueError | ||
| Everton | Ipswich | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1704 | 1667 |
| Surface Elo | 1704 | 1667 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 2.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 1 D |
| 12 Sep | A | Tottenham | 0 - 0 | D |
| 06 Sep | H | Manchester United | 2 - 2 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | Bournemouth | 1 - 1 | D |
| 22 Aug | H | Crystal Palace | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 May | A | Tottenham | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Crystal Palace | 3 - 2 | W |
| 04 Sep | H | Liverpool | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Manchester United | 2 - 5 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | Sunderland | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 May | H | QPR | 3 - 0 | W |
| 03 May 2025 | Everton | 2 - 2 | Ipswich |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Ipswich | 0 - 2 | Everton |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 4.50 | 22.2% | 19 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 19 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.70 | 58.8% | 19 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.67 | 59.9% | 19 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 19 Sep 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.35 | 23.0% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.93 | 25.4% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.87 | 53.5% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.73 | 57.8% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 19 Sep 06:16 |