| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 39.6% | 44% | -4.4% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 73.9% | 75% | -1.2% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 52.6% | 61% | -8.4% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.4% | 52% | +0.9% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.0% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.0% | 26.5% | 30.5% |
| xgboost | 30.3% | 26.4% | 43.3% |
| logistic | 32.3% | 29.4% | 38.3% |
| Wrexham | Wolverhampton Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1573 | 1613 |
| Surface Elo | 1573 | 1613 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.43 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.43 | 1.38 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.14 | 0.88 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 04 Nov | H | Middlesbrough | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Middlesbrough | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Oct | A | Sheffield Utd | 0 - 1 | L |
| 30 Oct | A | Sheffield Utd | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Blackburn | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Bristol City | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Bristol City | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Scunthorpe | 2 - 2 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Cardiff | 3 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Cardiff | 3 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.27 | 44.0% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.48 | 28.7% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.30 | 30.3% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.93 | 51.8% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.91 | 52.4% | 06 Nov 06:15 |