OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
⚽ France Ligue 1 · Saturday 17 October 2026, 15:15 UTC · finished
Strasbourg 1.40 1 - 3 2.00 Paris Saint Germain
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 57.6%70%-12.1%✓ hit
DCDraw or away 82.0%87%-5.1%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 75.8%84%-8.2%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 63.2%75%-12.0%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 57.1%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson23.8%22.1%54.1%
xgboost15.7%17.6%66.7%
logistic15.5%22.1%62.4%
Inputs the models saw
StrasbourgParis Saint Germain
Elo (pre-match)16951864
Surface Elo16951864
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.402.00
Form trend0.90-0.70
Season points per game0.003.00
Season goals for / game1.003.00
Season goals against / game2.001.00
Rest days66
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W6 W · 3 D
Strasbourg: last 5
11 OctANice1 - 2L
11 OctANice1 - 2L
19 SepAParis FC1 - 2L
12 SepHMonaco1 - 1D
06 SepATroyes6 - 2W
Paris Saint Germain: last 5
14 OctAManchester City4 - 2W
10 OctHLe Mans3 - 1W
10 OctHLe Mans3 - 1W
20 SepAMarseille2 - 1W
13 SepABrest1 - 0W
Head to head
01 Feb 2026Strasbourg1 - 2Paris Saint Germain
17 Oct 2025Paris Saint Germain3 - 3Strasbourg
03 May 2025Strasbourg2 - 1Paris Saint Germain
19 Oct 2024Paris Saint Germain4 - 2Strasbourg
02 Feb 2024Strasbourg1 - 2Paris Saint Germain
21 Oct 2023Paris Saint Germain3 - 0Strasbourg
27 May 2023Strasbourg1 - 1Paris Saint Germain
28 Dec 2022Paris Saint Germain2 - 1Strasbourg
29 Apr 2022Strasbourg3 - 3Paris Saint Germain
14 Aug 2021Paris Saint Germain4 - 2Strasbourg
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.4369.9%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw5.8317.2%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home6.7614.8%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.3474.6%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under3.4029.4%16 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:04 UTC