| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 65.7% | 66% | -0.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 45.9% | 54.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 35.2% | 64.7% |
| logistic | 33.9% | 66.1% |
| Buvaysar Gadamauri | Ugo Blanchet | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1535 | 1617 |
| Surface Elo | 1535 | 1617 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.93 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.21 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 0.79 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 08 Nov | H | Vadym Ursu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Felix Gill | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Pierluigi Basile | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Damm Jr, Martin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Felix Gill | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Nov | A | Freire Da Silva, Adan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | A | Damm Jr, Martin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Felix Balshaw | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Vadym Ursu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | A | Martin Damm | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Feb 2026 | Buvaysar Gadamauri | 0 - 2 | Ugo Blanchet |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.52 | 65.8% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.45 | 40.8% | 09 Nov 06:15 |