| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 88.0% | 90% | -2.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 86.7% | 13.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 84.4% | 15.5% |
| logistic | 79.5% | 20.5% |
| Mirra Andreeva | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1903 | 1545 |
| Surface Elo | 1903 | 1545 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 24 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | A | Leylah Fernandez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Coco Gauff | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Anastasia Potapova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Nikola Bartunkova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Daria Kasatkina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Mirra Andreeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Daria Kasatkina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Jul | H | Maria Timofeeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Jul | H | Tereza Valentova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 0 - 2 | Mirra Andreeva |
| 22 Jul 2024 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 0 - 2 | Mirra Andreeva |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 7.30 | 13.7% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.11 | 90.1% | 23 Sep 06:15 |