| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 69.9% | 77% | -6.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 21.1% | 78.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 33.4% | 66.6% |
| logistic | 24.3% | 75.7% |
| Moise Kouame | Lorenzo Musetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1605 | 1917 |
| Surface Elo | 1605 | 1917 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Oct | A | Lorenzo Musetti | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Lorenzo Sonego | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Lorenzo Sonego | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 0 - 1 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Diego Dedura | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Moise Kouame | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Matteo Arnaldi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Matteo Arnaldi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Yi Zhou | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Yi Zhou | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct 2026 | Lorenzo Musetti | 2 - 0 | Moise Kouame |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.30 | 76.9% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.70 | 27.0% | 21 Oct 06:15 |