| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 67.2% | 78% | -10.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 65.8% | 34.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 71.4% | 28.5% |
| logistic | 65.7% | 34.3% |
| Alejandro Moro Canas | John Echeverria | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1607 | 1499 |
| Surface Elo | 1607 | 1499 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 1.63 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.60 | 0.38 |
| Rest days | 17 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Nov | H | Mae Malige | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Thiago Monteiro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Thiago Monteiro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Tristan Boyer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Tristan Boyer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | A | Andrea Bacaloni | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Nicolas Tepmahc | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Eliakim Coulibaly | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Kris Van Wyk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Luca Wiedenmann | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.25 | 30.8% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.29 | 77.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |