| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.9% | 63% | -8.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 31.3% | 68.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 56.1% | 43.8% |
| logistic | 51.3% | 48.7% |
| Jelle Sels | Ryan Peniston | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1457 | 1481 |
| Surface Elo | 1457 | 1481 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 97 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Jun | A | Daniel Michalski | 0 - 1 | L |
| 22 Jun | A | Dimitar Kuzmanov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Jun | A | Francesco Forti | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Apr | H | Sergey Fomin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Apr | A | Antoine Ghibaudo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Daniel Jade | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Daniil Glinka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Ivan Ivanov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Feb | A | Hynek Barton | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Jan | A | Coleman Wong | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.58 | 63.3% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 27 Sep 06:15 |