| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.7% | 68% | -15.3% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 80.2% | 91% | -10.6% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 71.3% | 87% | -15.3% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.9% | 55% | +0.4% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.8% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 46.5% | 29.2% | 24.3% |
| xgboost | 47.5% | 28.3% | 24.2% |
| logistic | 61.9% | 23.8% | 14.3% |
| Nantes | Clermont | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1443 | 1360 |
| Surface Elo | 1443 | 1360 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 0.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 2.67 |
| Rest days | 6 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 2 D |
| 24 Oct | A | St Etienne | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Saint-Etienne | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Dunkerque | 2 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Dunkerque | 2 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Reims | 0 - 0 | D |
| 23 Oct | H | Guingamp | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Guingamp | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Laval | 3 - 3 | D |
| 16 Oct | A | Stade Lavallois MFC | 3 - 3 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Red Star | 2 - 3 | L |
| 14 Jan 2024 | Nantes | 1 - 2 | Clermont |
| 17 Sep 2023 | Clermont | 0 - 1 | Nantes |
| 29 Jan 2023 | Clermont | 0 - 0 | Nantes |
| 30 Oct 2022 | Nantes | 1 - 1 | Clermont |
| 03 Apr 2022 | Clermont | 2 - 3 | Nantes |
| 23 Oct 2021 | Nantes | 2 - 1 | Clermont |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.70 | 14.9% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.40 | 22.7% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.47 | 68.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.83 | 54.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.95 | 51.3% | 30 Oct 06:15 |