| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.2% | 96% | -42.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 57.1% | 42.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 46.1% | 53.9% |
| logistic | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Tiago Pereira | Pavlos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1400 | 1386 |
| Surface Elo | 1400 | 1386 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 13 | 195 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Sep | H | Pieczonka, Filip | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Filip Pieczonka | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Marco Trungelliti | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Gustavo Heide | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Mar | A | Paul Jubb | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Mar | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Nov | A | Alberto Barroso Campos | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Niels Visker | 0 - 1 | L |
| 18 Aug | A | Moez Echargui | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 8.80 | 11.4% | 20 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.04 | 96.2% | 20 Sep 06:16 |