| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.0% | 19% | +37.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Draw or away | 77.9% | 39% | +38.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 70.8% | 23% | +47.9% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.4% | 77% | -5.2% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 59.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 10.1% | 16.7% | 73.3% |
| xgboost | 36.7% | 23.1% | 40.2% |
| logistic | 19.7% | 27.2% | 53.0% |
| Crawley Town | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1328 | 1733 |
| Surface Elo | 1328 | 1733 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | -0.50 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 3.50 |
| Rest days | 10 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Nov | A | Wimborne Town | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Oldham | 1 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Oldham | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Tranmere | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Tranmere | 1 - 1 | D |
| 08 Nov | A | Brighton | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Nov | A | Brighton | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Wycombe Wanderers Development Team | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Nottingham Forest | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Nottingham Forest | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.70 | 17.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.10 | 19.6% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.43 | 69.9% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.31 | 76.3% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.40 | 29.4% | 10 Nov 06:15 |