| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 67.6% | 70% | -2.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 68.4% | 31.5% |
| logistic | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Juan Estevez | Federico Aguilar Cardozo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1348 | 1487 |
| Surface Elo | 1348 | 1487 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Ryo Tabata | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Ryo Tabata | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Barrios Vera, Marcelo Tomas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Tomas Barrios Vera | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | H | Nicolas Kicker | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Tomas Farjat | 1 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Nicolas Kicker | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.42 | 70.4% | 10 Nov 06:15 |