| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 72.0% | 85% | -13.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 21.2% | 78.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 23.0% | 76.9% |
| logistic | 26.4% | 73.6% |
| Pierre Hugues Herbert | Taylor Fritz | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1659 | 1967 |
| Surface Elo | 1659 | 1967 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 2 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Oct | H | Taylor Fritz | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Sebastian Baez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Sebastian Baez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Maxim Mrva | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Jurij Rodionov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Pierre Hugues Herbert | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Matteo Arnaldi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Matteo Arnaldi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Pierre Hugues Herbert | 0 - 2 | Taylor Fritz |
| 19 Mar 2018 | Pierre Hugues Herbert | 2 - 0 | Taylor Fritz |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.16 | 86.2% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 5.50 | 18.2% | 22 Oct 06:15 |