| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 46.1% | 36% | +10.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 74.4% | 68% | +6.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 60.8% | 51% | +9.6% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.7% | 47% | +8.2% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 51.7% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 46.8% | 30.6% | 22.6% |
| xgboost | 41.5% | 29.8% | 28.7% |
| logistic | 38.3% | 28.3% | 33.5% |
| Sudtirol | Sampdoria | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1429 | 1387 |
| Surface Elo | 1429 | 1387 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 0.57 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.29 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.86 | 2.14 |
| Rest days | 6 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 18 Oct | A | Juve Stabia | 0 - 3 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Juve Stabia | 0 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Ascoli | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Ascoli | 0 - 0 | D |
| 20 Sep | A | Arezzo | 4 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Arezzo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Avellino | 1 - 4 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Catanzaro | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Mantova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Palermo | 1 - 3 | L |
| 01 May 2026 | Sampdoria | 1 - 0 | Sudtirol |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Sudtirol | 3 - 1 | Sampdoria |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Sudtirol | 2 - 1 | Sampdoria |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Sampdoria | 1 - 0 | Sudtirol |
| 13 Apr 2024 | Sampdoria | 0 - 1 | Sudtirol |
| 28 Oct 2023 | Sudtirol | 3 - 1 | Sampdoria |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 24 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 2.75 | 36.4% | 24 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.82 | 35.5% | 24 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.20 | 45.5% | 24 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.65 | 60.6% | 24 Oct 14:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.00 | 33.3% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.85 | 35.1% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.15 | 46.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.67 | 59.9% | 24 Oct 06:15 |