| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 72.3% | 74% | -1.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 71.5% | 28.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 76.0% | 24.0% |
| logistic | 60.7% | 39.3% |
| Sara Bejlek | Maddison Inglis | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1652 | 1465 |
| Surface Elo | 1652 | 1465 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 14 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | A | Naomi Osaka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Maddison Inglis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Sep | A | Cristina Bucsa | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Alycia Parks | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Cristina Bucsa | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Zeynep Sonmez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Sara Bejlek | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Zeynep Sonmez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Darya Astakhova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Xinxin Yao | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Maddison Inglis | 0 - 2 | Sara Bejlek |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.50 | 28.6% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.32 | 75.8% | 02 Oct 06:15 |