| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.9% | 59% | -3.5% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 82.5% | 85% | -2.6% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 75.3% | 79% | -3.6% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.5% | 52% | +1.1% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 48.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 47.3% | 27.9% | 24.8% |
| xgboost | 60.4% | 22.8% | 16.8% |
| logistic | 65.5% | 21.6% | 12.9% |
| Juventus | Lazio | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1780 | 1758 |
| Surface Elo | 1780 | 1758 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.83 | 2.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.83 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.83 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 3 W · 3 D |
| 15 Oct | A | Celta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Cagliari | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | Cagliari | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Sep | H | Atalanta | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Sassuolo | 2 - 3 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Monza | 3 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Monza | 3 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Venezia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Ac Milan | 2 - 2 | D |
| 07 Sep | A | Udinese | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Feb 2026 | Juventus | 2 - 2 | Lazio |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Lazio | 1 - 0 | Juventus |
| 10 May 2025 | Lazio | 1 - 1 | Juventus |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Juventus | 1 - 0 | Lazio |
| 30 Mar 2024 | Lazio | 1 - 0 | Juventus |
| 16 Sep 2023 | Juventus | 3 - 1 | Lazio |
| 08 Apr 2023 | Lazio | 2 - 1 | Juventus |
| 13 Nov 2022 | Juventus | 3 - 0 | Lazio |
| 16 May 2022 | Juventus | 2 - 2 | Lazio |
| 20 Nov 2021 | Lazio | 0 - 2 | Juventus |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 5.50 | 18.2% | 18 Oct 19:45 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 18 Oct 19:45 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.62 | 61.7% | 18 Oct 19:45 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.80 | 55.6% | 18 Oct 19:45 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.00 | 50.0% | 18 Oct 19:45 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.89 | 17.0% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.11 | 24.3% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.65 | 60.6% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.91 | 52.4% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.93 | 51.8% | 18 Oct 06:15 |