| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 91.5% | 92% | -0.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 15.9% | 84.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 7.6% | 92.3% |
| logistic | 12.0% | 88.0% |
| Leo Borg | Toby Samuel | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1434 | 1709 |
| Surface Elo | 1434 | 1709 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 11 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 29 Oct | H | Cezar Cretu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | Liam Delicata | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Kris Van Wyk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Luca Wiedenmann | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Nov | A | Adrian Mannarino | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Nov | A | Karl Friberg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Jurij Rodionov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Lukas Pokorny | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Jurij Rodionov | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.09 | 91.7% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 8.25 | 12.1% | 09 Nov 06:15 |