OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-21
⚽ Portugal Campeonato Nacional, Women · Monday 21 September 2026, 17:00 UTC · abandoned
Porto 3.00 17:00 2.00 Sp Braga
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 62.9%40%+22.9%abandoned
DCHome or draw 87.7%69%+18.3%abandoned
DNBHome (DNB) 82.8%55%+28.1%abandoned
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 45.5%60%-14.3%abandoned
BTTSBTTS yes 46.0%no lineabandoned
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson57.0%24.7%18.3%
xgboost59.8%24.3%15.9%
logistic69.4%19.6%11.0%
Inputs the models saw
PortoSp Braga
Elo (pre-match)18641676
Surface Elo18641676
Form, last 5 (PPG)3.002.00
Form trend0.00-0.10
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days86
Head-to-head (last 10)7 W2 W · 1 D
Porto: last 5
20 SepHBenfica3 - 1W
20 SepHBenfica3 - 1W
12 SepACasa Pia4 - 1W
04 SepHMoreirense2 - 1W
29 AugAAcademico Viseu3 - 0W
Sp Braga: last 5
20 SepASanta Clara0 - 0D
20 SepASanta Clara0 - 0D
14 SepHEstoril1 - 0W
10 SepAEstrela1 - 2L
05 SepAAlverca2 - 1W
Head to head
22 Mar 2026Sp Braga1 - 2Porto
02 Nov 2025Porto2 - 1Sp Braga
08 Mar 2025Sp Braga1 - 0Porto
06 Oct 2024Porto2 - 1Sp Braga
18 May 2024Sp Braga0 - 1Porto
14 Jan 2024Porto2 - 0Sp Braga
19 Mar 2023Sp Braga0 - 0Porto
30 Sep 2022Porto4 - 1Sp Braga
25 Apr 2022Sp Braga1 - 0Porto
12 Dec 2021Porto1 - 0Sp Braga
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.5040.0%21 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.4029.4%21 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.5040.0%21 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6759.9%21 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.0548.8%21 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 20:32 UTC