| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 77.5% | 80% | -2.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 72.9% | 27.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 83.0% | 16.9% |
| logistic | 68.2% | 31.8% |
| Harold Mayot | Niels Visker | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1774 | 1515 |
| Surface Elo | 1774 | 1515 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.10 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | A | Clement Chidekh | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Niels Visker | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Titouan Droguet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Murphy Cassone | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Niels McDonald | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Tom Paris | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Pedro Vives Marcos | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Harold Mayot | 2 - 0 | Niels Visker |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.00 | 25.0% | 30 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.22 | 82.0% | 30 Sep 06:15 |