| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 61.0% | 96% | -35.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.6% | 35.0% |
| xgboost | 31.8% | 68.1% |
| logistic | 37.0% | 63.0% |
| Mikulskyte, Justina | Paula Badosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1500 | 1649 |
| Surface Elo | 1500 | 1649 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.50 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 17 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| No results yet. |
| 15 Sep | A | Nadia Podoroska | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Mary Stoiana | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Jazmin Ortenzi | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Justina Mikulskyte | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Coco Gauff | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.04 | 96.2% | 16 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 13.00 | 7.7% | 16 Sep 06:15 |