| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.4% | 49% | +2.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 47.2% | 52.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 57.8% | 42.2% |
| logistic | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| Martin Borisiouk | Florent Bax | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1483 | 1518 |
| Surface Elo | 1483 | 1518 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 10 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | A | Florent Bax | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Dominik Palan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Koki Matsuda | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Nov | H | Nishesh Basavareddy | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Nov | A | Keegan Smith | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Moise Kouame | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Martin Borisiouk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Thanh Minh Truong | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Maximus Jones | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Daniil Glinka | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Florent Bax | 2 - 0 | Martin Borisiouk |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.73 | 57.8% | 16 Sep 23:42 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 16 Sep 23:42 |