| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.0% | 69% | -17.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Draw or away | 78.6% | 93% | -14.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 69.1% | 88% | -19.2% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.7% | 61% | +9.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 65.3% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 26.8% | 26.7% | 46.5% |
| xgboost | 22.1% | 26.6% | 51.3% |
| logistic | 19.9% | 23.3% | 56.7% |
| Salernitana | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1424 | 1629 |
| Surface Elo | 1424 | 1629 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 4.50 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 528 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 3 W · 1 D |
| 17 Oct | H | Scafatese Calcio 1922 | 2 - 2 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Pescara | 3 - 3 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | S.S.D. Casarano Calcio | 0 - 0 | D |
| 04 Oct | H | Bari | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Crotone | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Mantova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Mantova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Empoli | 4 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Empoli | 4 - 2 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Padova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Mar 2025 | Salernitana | 1 - 2 | Palermo |
| 06 Oct 2024 | Palermo | 0 - 1 | Salernitana |
| 18 Jan 2019 | Palermo | 1 - 2 | Salernitana |
| 25 Aug 2018 | Salernitana | 0 - 0 | Palermo |
| 18 May 2018 | Salernitana | 0 - 2 | Palermo |
| 28 Dec 2017 | Palermo | 3 - 0 | Salernitana |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.44 | 69.4% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.25 | 23.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 5.80 | 17.2% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.65 | 60.6% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.05 | 48.8% | 24 Oct 06:15 |