OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-20
⚽ Netherlands Eredivisie · Sunday 20 September 2026, 10:15 UTC · finished
Feyenoord 2.20 5 - 0 1.00 Utrecht
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 71.7%no line✓ hit
DCHome or draw 92.6%no line✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 91.5%no line✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 60.4%no line✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 52.7%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson63.4%19.6%17.0%
xgboost64.8%18.9%16.3%
logistic72.4%18.0%9.7%
Inputs the models saw
FeyenoordUtrecht
Elo (pre-match)17231605
Surface Elo17231605
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.201.00
Form trend-0.40-0.60
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days66
Head-to-head (last 10)7 W2 W · 1 D
Feyenoord: last 5
13 SepAZwolle7 - 0W
05 SepANijmegen3 - 1W
30 AugHDen Haag2 - 2D
23 AugACambuur5 - 2W
16 AugHGo Ahead Eagles2 - 2D
Utrecht: last 5
13 SepAExcelsior2 - 1W
08 SepHGo Ahead Eagles3 - 3D
30 AugHPSV Eindhoven1 - 6L
22 AugASparta Rotterdam3 - 3D
15 AugHAZ Alkmaar1 - 4L
Head to head
08 Feb 2026Utrecht0 - 1Feyenoord
05 Oct 2025Feyenoord3 - 2Utrecht
12 Jan 2025Feyenoord1 - 2Utrecht
27 Oct 2024Utrecht0 - 2Feyenoord
31 Mar 2024Feyenoord4 - 2Utrecht
03 Sep 2023Utrecht1 - 5Feyenoord
23 Apr 2023Feyenoord3 - 1Utrecht
08 Jan 2023Utrecht1 - 1Feyenoord
24 Apr 2022Feyenoord2 - 1Utrecht
29 Aug 2021Utrecht3 - 1Feyenoord
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
No bookmaker lines stored.
Generated 2026-10-30 19:25 UTC