| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.0% | 66% | -8.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 61.6% | 38.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 47.4% | 52.5% |
| logistic | 58.8% | 41.2% |
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | Gauthier Onclin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1727 | 1612 |
| Surface Elo | 1727 | 1612 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.43 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | A | Pierre Hugues Herbert | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Clement Chidekh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Joel Schwaerzler | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Clement Tabur | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Gauthier Onclin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Dan Added | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Dominik Kellovsky | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Raphael Perot | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Vit Kopriva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Gauthier Onclin | 0 - 2 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg |
| 09 Mar 2026 | Gauthier Onclin | 2 - 0 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.45 | 40.8% | 30 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.51 | 66.2% | 30 Sep 06:15 |