| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 43.3% | 48% | -4.9% | |
| DC | Home or away | 76.2% | 80% | -3.7% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 54.2% | 64% | -10.0% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.4% | 67% | -10.7% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.8% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 42.9% | 22.1% | 35.0% |
| xgboost | 30.0% | 25.5% | 44.5% |
| logistic | 33.2% | 29.2% | 37.6% |
| Celta B | Cordoba | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1462 | 1475 |
| Surface Elo | 1462 | 1475 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.33 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Girona | 1 - 5 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Girona | 1 - 5 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Tenerife | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Oct | H | Tenerife | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Sociedad | 4 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | CD Atletico Paso | 1 - 3 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Eibar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Eibar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Leganes | 1 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Leganes | 1 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.10 | 32.3% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.49 | 67.1% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.50 | 40.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |