| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 43.4% | 36% | +7.4% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 71.5% | 76% | -4.5% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 56.0% | 50% | +5.5% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.4% | 60% | -4.3% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.8% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 35.5% | 36.3% | 28.2% |
| xgboost | 30.8% | 31.7% | 37.4% |
| logistic | 33.1% | 28.2% | 38.7% |
| Eibar | Mallorca | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1586 | 1587 |
| Surface Elo | 1586 | 1587 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 2.33 | 1.89 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.11 | 1.22 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.11 | 0.44 |
| Rest days | 4 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Oviedo | 1 - 3 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Real Oviedo | 1 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | CD San Ignacio | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Albacete | 3 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Albacete | 3 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Las Palmas | 3 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Las Palmas | 3 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Girona | 0 - 0 | D |
| 04 Oct | A | Girona | 0 - 0 | D |
| 27 Sep | H | Almeria | 0 - 1 | L |
| 07 Mar 2020 | Eibar | 1 - 2 | Mallorca |
| 17 Aug 2019 | Mallorca | 2 - 1 | Eibar |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.85 | 35.1% | 17 Oct 15:15 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.30 | 30.3% | 17 Oct 15:15 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 17 Oct 15:15 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.05 | 48.8% | 17 Oct 15:15 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.75 | 57.1% | 17 Oct 15:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.80 | 35.7% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.55 | 39.2% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.15 | 46.5% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.68 | 59.5% | 17 Oct 06:15 |