| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 42.2% | 57% | -14.6% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 74.0% | 80% | -5.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 56.3% | 76% | -19.8% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 49.5% | 55% | -5.5% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.7% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.2% | 29.2% | 27.6% |
| xgboost | 42.0% | 27.5% | 30.5% |
| logistic | 35.5% | 25.4% | 39.0% |
| Quevilly Rouen | Bastia | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1416 | 1396 |
| Surface Elo | 1416 | 1396 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.56 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.44 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.44 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 903 | 181 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 3 W · 2 D |
| 31 Oct | H | Concarneau | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Paris FC | 1 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Orleans | 3 - 2 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | AS Cannes | 1 - 3 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Bourg Peronnas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Paris FC | 0 - 1 | L |
| 09 May | H | Le Mans | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 May | A | Guingamp | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Apr | A | Clermont | 1 - 1 | D |
| 18 Apr | H | St Etienne | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Feb 2024 | Quevilly Rouen | 0 - 1 | Bastia |
| 16 Dec 2023 | Bastia | 0 - 0 | Quevilly Rouen |
| 11 Feb 2023 | Bastia | 0 - 1 | Quevilly Rouen |
| 10 Jan 2023 | Quevilly Rouen | 1 - 1 | Bastia |
| 08 Jan 2022 | Bastia | 3 - 0 | Quevilly Rouen |
| 18 Aug 2021 | Quevilly Rouen | 1 - 2 | Bastia |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.40 | 22.7% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.76 | 56.8% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.95 | 51.3% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.82 | 54.9% | 07 Nov 06:15 |