| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.0% | 55% | +0.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 32.8% | 67.2% |
| logistic | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Roman Safiullin | Flavio Cobolli | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1860 | 1964 |
| Surface Elo | 1860 | 1964 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 26 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 01 Oct | A | Flavio Cobolli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Bu Yunchaokete | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Yunchaokete Bu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Roman Safiullin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Alexander Blockx | 1 - 3 | L |
| 03 Sep | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 3 - 1 | W |
| 01 Sep | H | Francisco Comesana | 3 - 2 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | Arthur Fils | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct 2026 | Flavio Cobolli | 0 - 2 | Roman Safiullin |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.81 | 55.2% | 30 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 30 Sep 06:15 |