OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-10-04
NFL · Sunday 04 October 2026, 20:25 UTC · finished
Seattle Seahawks – 30 - 23 – Los Angeles Chargers
NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 77.8%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
ensemble77.8%22.2%
Inputs the models saw
Seattle SeahawksLos Angeles Chargers
playoff0.00
elo diff0.29
form diff0.62
rest diff0.00
home field1.00
point diff1.36
opponent strength diff0.01
Information cutoff (UTC)2026-10-03T20:25:00+00:00
Seattle Seahawks: last 5
27 SepAWashington Commanders31 - 33L
20 SepAArizona Cardinals31 - 7W
10 SepHNew England Patriots13 - 10W
08 FebANew England Patriots29 - 13W
25 JanHLos Angeles Rams31 - 27W
Los Angeles Chargers: last 5
27 SepABuffalo Bills16 - 24L
20 SepHLas Vegas Raiders14 - 26L
13 SepHArizona Cardinals14 - 26L
12 JanANew England Patriots3 - 16L
04 JanADenver Broncos3 - 19L
Head to head
23 Oct 2022Los Angeles Chargers23 - 37Seattle Seahawks
04 Nov 2018Seattle Seahawks17 - 25Los Angeles Chargers
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Pinnacle sharp1X2home1.3176.3%04 Oct 15:20
Pinnacle sharp1X2away3.7826.5%04 Oct 15:20
Generated 2026-10-30 18:21 UTC