| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 67.5% | 78% | -10.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 33.7% | 66.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 18.4% | 81.5% |
| logistic | 38.8% | 61.2% |
| Diego Dedura Palomero | Oliver Tarvet | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1539 | 1660 |
| Surface Elo | 1539 | 1660 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 04 Oct | H | Vadym Ursu | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Oriol Roca Batalla | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Thiago Monteiro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Kilian Feldbausch | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Dusan Lajovic | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Laslo Djere | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Francesco Maestrelli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Mathys Erhard | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | Charles Broom | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Emile Hudd | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.29 | 77.5% | 05 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.40 | 29.4% | 05 Oct 06:15 |