| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.4% | 61% | +1.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 60.3% | 39.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 55.8% | 44.1% |
| logistic | 61.6% | 38.4% |
| Svyatoslav Gulin | Franco Agamenone | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1515 | 1469 |
| Surface Elo | 1515 | 1469 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.20 | 1.67 |
| Rest days | 1 | 15 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Pedro Rodenas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Gianluca Cadenasso | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Franco Agamenone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Kovac, Tilen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Alvarez Valdes, Luis Carlos | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Svyatoslav Gulin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | John Sperle | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Ignacio Parisca Romera | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Almazan Valiente, Izan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Izan Almazan Valiente | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Franco Agamenone | 0 - 2 | Svyatoslav Gulin |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.64 | 61.0% | 13 Oct 06:15 |