| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.1% | 67% | -7.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 53.3% | 31.3% |
| xgboost | 79.0% | 19.6% |
| logistic | 57.8% | 42.2% |
| Buffalo Sabres | Philadelphia Flyers | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1558 | 1470 |
| Surface Elo | 1558 | 1470 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.44 | 0.18 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 1.55 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.78 | 3.27 |
| Rest days | 4 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | A | Montréal Canadiens | 3 - 4 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Toronto Maple Leafs | 5 - 4 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Montréal Canadiens | 3 - 4 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Florida Panthers | 5 - 3 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 1 - 4 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Colorado Avalanche | 3 - 2 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Ottawa Senators | 3 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Detroit Red Wings | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Seattle Kraken | 2 - 3 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 1 - 4 | L |
| 15 Jan 2026 | Buffalo Sabres | 5 - 2 | Philadelphia Flyers |
| 19 Dec 2025 | Buffalo Sabres | 5 - 3 | Philadelphia Flyers |
| 04 Dec 2025 | Philadelphia Flyers | 5 - 2 | Buffalo Sabres |
| 17 Apr 2025 | Buffalo Sabres | 5 - 4 | Philadelphia Flyers |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Philadelphia Flyers | 7 - 4 | Buffalo Sabres |
| 17 Nov 2024 | Philadelphia Flyers | 5 - 2 | Buffalo Sabres |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.49 | 67.1% | 21 Oct 23:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.82 | 35.5% | 21 Oct 23:20 |