| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 45.1% | 65% | -19.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 55.7% | 28.9% |
| xgboost | 45.1% | 53.8% |
| logistic | 61.4% | 38.6% |
| New York Islanders | Chicago Blackhawks | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1453 | 1364 |
| Surface Elo | 1453 | 1364 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.33 | 4.25 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 06 Oct | A | New York Rangers | 2 - 5 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | New Jersey Devils | 6 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Toronto Maple Leafs | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Apr | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Apr | H | Montréal Canadiens | 1 - 4 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | St. Louis Blues | 4 - 2 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Buffalo Sabres | 3 - 4 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 0 - 6 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Vegas Golden Knights | 2 - 5 | L |
| 16 Apr | H | San Jose Sharks | 5 - 2 | W |
| 24 Mar 2026 | New York Islanders | 3 - 4 | Chicago Blackhawks |
| 31 Dec 2025 | Chicago Blackhawks | 2 - 3 | New York Islanders |
| 15 Dec 2024 | Chicago Blackhawks | 5 - 3 | New York Islanders |
| 13 Dec 2024 | New York Islanders | 5 - 4 | Chicago Blackhawks |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.55 | 64.5% | 08 Oct 19:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.62 | 38.2% | 08 Oct 19:20 |