| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 84.5% | 86% | -1.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 15.9% | 84.0% |
| logistic | 19.9% | 80.1% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Ryotaro Taguchi | Adrian Andreev | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1429 | 1557 |
| Surface Elo | 1429 | 1557 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.78 |
| Rest days | 5 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Wright, Michael | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Michel Hopp | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Fons Van Sambeek | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 May | A | Keegan Smith | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Mar | A | Paul Jubb | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | H | Matteo Martineau | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Massimo Giunta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | A | Andrea Colombo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Izan Almazan Valiente | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Jonas Forejtek | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.16 | 86.2% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.75 | 21.1% | 08 Nov 06:15 |