| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 45.6% | 30% | +15.3% | |
| DC | Home or away | 73.6% | 84% | -10.4% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 61.2% | 41% | +20.6% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 49.7% | no line | ||
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.4% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 27.4% | 30.0% | 42.6% |
| xgboost | 31.1% | 27.9% | 41.0% |
| logistic | 27.2% | 24.0% | 48.9% |
| Amorebieta | Eibar | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1457 | 1563 |
| Surface Elo | 1457 | 1563 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 894 | 13 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 3 W · 1 D |
| 10 Nov | H | Logrones | 1 - 0 | W |
| 07 Nov | A | CD Basconia | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | RS Gimnastica de Torrelavega | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | SD Gernika Club | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Rayo Cantabria | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Nov | A | CD Pamplona | 3 - 0 | W |
| 07 Nov | H | Atletico Astorga FC | 4 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | A | Deportivo Alaves B | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Almeria | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Almeria | 1 - 1 | D |
| 05 May 2024 | Eibar | 5 - 0 | Amorebieta |
| 08 Oct 2023 | Amorebieta | 1 - 2 | Eibar |
| 13 Mar 2022 | Eibar | 1 - 0 | Amorebieta |
| 25 Sep 2021 | Amorebieta | 1 - 1 | Eibar |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.30 | 30.3% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.86 | 53.8% | 12 Nov 06:15 |