| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.3% | 90% | -27.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 72.8% | 27.2% |
| logistic | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Rahmani, Kasra | Makhlouf, Nazim | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1551 | 1507 |
| Surface Elo | 1551 | 1507 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.10 | 1.64 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 1.09 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.70 | 0.91 |
| Rest days | 1 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Oct | H | Lars Goran Verwerft | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Vaclav Schneider | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Luca Castagnola | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Kaan Isik Kosaner | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | De La Cierva Sanchez, Pablo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Cesar Bouchelaghem | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Diogo Coelho | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Robin Bertrand | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Ahmed Darmoul | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Eliakim Coulibaly | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Sep 2026 | Makhlouf, Nazim | 0 - 1 | Rahmani, Kasra |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.75 | 17.4% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.11 | 90.1% | 23 Oct 06:15 |