OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-07
⚽ England FA Cup · Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC · finished
Chesterfield 1.00 4 - 3 1.80 Yeovil
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 59.3%66%-6.5%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 81.7%87%-5.3%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 76.3%83%-6.2%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 55.4%66%-10.4%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 57.5%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson59.0%22.7%18.4%
xgboost56.8%22.3%20.9%
logistic63.7%21.1%15.2%
Inputs the models saw
ChesterfieldYeovil
Elo (pre-match)14981447
Surface Elo14981447
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.001.80
Form trend-0.100.60
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W2 W · 2 D
Chesterfield: last 5
30 OctANewport County1 - 4L
30 OctANewport County1 - 4L
24 OctHCrewe5 - 1W
24 OctHCrewe5 - 1W
20 OctHColchester1 - 1D
Yeovil: last 5
31 OctAHalifax0 - 2L
31 OctAHalifax0 - 2L
27 OctAHornchurch2 - 1W
27 OctAHornchurch2 - 1W
24 OctHAltrincham1 - 2L
Head to head
11 Mar 2023Chesterfield1 - 1Yeovil
17 Sep 2022Yeovil2 - 2Chesterfield
26 Feb 2022Chesterfield1 - 0Yeovil
18 Sep 2021Yeovil0 - 2Chesterfield
06 Mar 2021Chesterfield3 - 0Yeovil
31 Oct 2020Yeovil0 - 1Chesterfield
10 Dec 2019Chesterfield1 - 2Yeovil
20 Jan 2018Yeovil1 - 2Chesterfield
26 Sep 2017Chesterfield2 - 3Yeovil
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away5.6017.9%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.7021.3%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.5265.8%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5265.8%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.5040.0%07 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:01 UTC