| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.2% | 58% | +0.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.2% | 48.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 38.9% | 61.1% |
| logistic | 41.2% | 58.8% |
| Maxime Chazal | Yanaki Milev | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1448 | 1546 |
| Surface Elo | 1448 | 1546 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.56 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.78 |
| Rest days | 11 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | H | Frydrych, Viktor | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Jonas Forejtek | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Joel Schwaerzler | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Jonas Forejtek | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Joel Schwaerzler | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Francesco Passaro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Carlos Sanchez Jover | 1 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Buvaysar Gadamauri | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Ivan Gakhov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Daniel Siniakov | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.73 | 57.8% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 11 Oct 06:15 |